← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A Wiley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Derby win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.33 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1490.71 | 1606.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.39 | 20.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 42.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.20 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.54 |
| travel km | — | 192.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |