← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Mon, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Southampton win | 31% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 474.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.72 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1482.39 | 1597.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.08 | 5.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 42.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| travel km | — | 107.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |