← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Fletcher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Burnley win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 1417.00 | 655.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1436.91 | 1443.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.62 | -46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 44.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.20 |
| state index | -0.53 | -1.30 |
| travel km | — | 89.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |