← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Leicester win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 2 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 5130.00 | 3760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1448.31 | 1487.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.98 | 12.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 33.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 12.60 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |