← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: S Tanner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 56% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Watford win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 2353.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1722.55 | 1592.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.72 | 12.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| league points | 89.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.41 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 14.60 |
| state index | 1.18 | 0.78 |
| travel km | — | 47.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |