← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Crewe win | 34% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 465.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1361.56 | 1484.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.81 | 8.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 27.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |