← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 54% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Nott'm Forest win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1586.06 | 1503.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.11 | 26.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 86.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.80 |
| state index | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 73.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |