← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Crewe win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 3235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1476.13 | 1651.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.07 | 11.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 91.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 2.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 14.20 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.98 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |