← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Sun, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Hill
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Burnley win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 435.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1431.86 | 1530.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.22 | -9.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 53.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.80 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.04 |
| travel km | — | 136.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |