← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Walton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Burnley win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1457.61 | 1445.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.26 | 7.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 51.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |