← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Sat, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Wimbledon win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wimbledon | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1332.25 | 1416.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.13 | -18.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 25.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | -1.24 | -0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |