← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Tue, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Cain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 62% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.00 |
| Wimbledon win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Fouls | 3 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1428.33 | 1341.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.75 | 22.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 9.60 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |