← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Wed, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mick Fletcher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Cardiff win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 4420.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1590.82 | 1539.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.37 | 28.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 63.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.96 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |