← EFL Championship 2003-04 · Tue, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Gallagher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Stoke win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 22 |
| 5 | On target | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1477.18 | 1522.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.15 | 29.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 44.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -15.40 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |