← EFL Championship 2002-03 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Armstrong
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Burnley win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wimbledon | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1524.58 | 1418.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.61 | -33.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 62.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| state index | 0.44 | -1.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |