β EFL Championship 2002-03 Β· Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Reading win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 368.00 | 1311.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 3.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1455.64 | 1595.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.71 | 23.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 47.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.76 |
| travel km | β | 192.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |