← EFL Championship 2002-03 · Sun, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Wilkes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Grimsby win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grimsby | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1362.25 | 1477.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.05 | 1.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.80 |
| state index | -1.36 | -0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |