← EFL Championship 2002-03 · Wed, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Watford win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | — | 1307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1436.87 | 1581.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.77 | -4.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 57.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 47.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |