FC Astana 1–3 Chelsea

← UEFA Europa Conference League 2024 · Thu, Dec 12, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Jablonski

No odds captured for this game. Our books cover it when its markets open — Kalshi game-winners land every 6 hours, and a fixture that only just entered the spine (like a game added mid-day) picks up prices at the next pull. No strategy bet here either; the executor only bets where it has prices.

Timeline

14'	⚽	Marc Guiu · Chelsea
18'	⚽	Marc Guiu · Chelsea
27'	🟨	Aleksa Amanović · FC Astana
39'	⚽	Renato Veiga · Chelsea
45'	⚽	Marin Tomasov · FC Astana

from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks

The match in numberswhat each side looked like walking in

Pre-match form

What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.

Metric	FC Astana	Chelsea
accuracy ratio (last 10)	0.34	0.45
accuracy ratio (last 3)	0.40	0.48
accuracy ratio (last 5)	0.29	0.48
box share (last 5)	0.65	0.77
cards avg (last 5)	0.00	1.40
coach days	833.00	194.00
congestion 21d	1.00	5.00
corners volatility (last 10)	1.29	2.27
elo	1499.09	1814.42
elo momentum (last 5)	5.19	41.28
eye test v1	-1.17	2.49
eye trend v1	0.13	-0.14
first sub minute (last 10)	76.10	60.90
form points (last 5)	7.00	15.00
goal diff avg (last 5)	0.20	2.20
goals against avg (last 5)	0.80	1.00
goals for avg (last 5)	1.00	3.20
goals volatility (last 10)	1.84	2.15
keeper form v1	0.74	0.78
league points	17.00	15.00
league rank	11.00	17.00
matches since blank	1.00	20.00
matches since clean sheet	3.00	2.00
matches since win	3.00	0.00
pass acc avg (last 5)	75.00	88.60
possession avg (last 5)	40.00	62.00
rest days	14.00	3.96
scorer concentration	0.33	0.24
season ppg	1.70	2.50
skill v1	-0.86	1.80
solidity v1	-2.35	-0.50
sot against avg (last 5)	8.20	5.00
sot for avg (last 10)	2.10	8.50
sot for avg (last 3)	2.33	9.67
sot for avg (last 5)	2.40	9.00
squad age	—	23.90
state index	0.16	1.64
sterile dominance v1	-0.30	0.64
threat rate (last 10)	0.21	0.32
threat rate (last 3)	0.15	0.34
threat rate (last 5)	0.21	0.30
venue ppg (last 5)	2.60	2.60
xg against avg (last 5)	2.71	1.75
xg for avg (last 5)	0.62	3.12

Everything else we hold on this match · 1 more recorded fact — tap to expand

venue

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