← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.38 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 19% | 5.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Yevhen Seleznyov · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Barış Başdaş · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 48' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Alanyaspor |
| 64' | 🟨 | Isaac Sackey · Alanyaspor |
| 67' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 75' | 🟨 | André Poko · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 78' | ⚽ | Daniel Candeias · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mustapha Yatabaré · Kardemir Karabukspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alanyaspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 895.00 | 102.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 3.23 |
| elo |
| venue | Alanya Oba Stadyumu |
| 1484.10 |
| 1475.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.29 | -15.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.06 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 37.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |