← Süper Lig 2016 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 49% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Valerică Găman · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 30' | 🟨 | Sercan Yildirim · Bursaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 57' | ⚽ | Kubilay Kanatsızkuş · Bursaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dany Nounkeu · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 80' | 🟨 | Cristian Tănase · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 83' | 🟨 | Paul Papp · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Poko · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sercan Yildirim · Bursaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Erdem Özgenç · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 69.00 | 65.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 2.76 |
| elo |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| 1440.91 |
| 1482.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.11 | 7.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.80 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 5.04 | 6.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |