← Süper Lig 2016 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bulent Yildirim, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Gregory van der Wiel · Fenerbahce |
| 39' | 🟨 | Paul Papp · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Simon Kjær · Fenerbahce |
| 48' | 🟨 | Evgen Seleznev · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 84' | ⚽ | Robin van Persie · Fenerbahce |
| 85' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 59.00 | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 3.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.69 |
| elo | 1528.83 | 1743.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.49 | -20.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 39.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |