← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Umit Ozturk, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 40% | 2.43 |
| Alanyaspor win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ricardo Faty · Bursaspor |
| 27' | ⚽ | Efecan Karaca · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Candeias · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Yilmaz · Bursaspor |
| 54' | 🟨 | Ismail Konuk · Bursaspor |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 72' | 🟨 | Şamil Çinaz · Bursaspor |
| 76' | 🟨 | Berkan Emir · Alanyaspor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 50.00 | 839.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 3.36 |
| elo | 1470.39 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| 1457.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.27 | 21.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.27 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| league points | 32.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |