← Süper Lig 2016 · Sat, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Baris Simsek, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Gaziantep win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Marcinho · Gaziantep |
| 7' | ⚽ | Ismail Konuk · Bursaspor |
| 18' | 🟨 | Musa Nizam · Gaziantep |
| 53' | 🟨 | Yonathan Del Valle · Bursaspor |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tomáš Sivok · Bursaspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Cristóbal Jorquera · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Wallace Reis · Gaziantep |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joshua John · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 35.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.85 | 4.10 |
| elo | 1503.46 | 1436.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.41 | 20.60 |
| eye test v1 | -1.62 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.72 |
| skill v1 | -1.36 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.14 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |