← Süper Lig 2016 · Sat, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Halil Umut Meler, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
| Bursaspor win | 21% | 4.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ricardo Faty · Bursaspor |
| 17' | 🟨 | Ertuğrul Ersoy · Bursaspor |
| 21' | 🟨 | Jeremain Lens · Fenerbahce |
| 22' | 🟨 | Boban Jović · Bursaspor |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Moussa Sow · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Boban Jović · Bursaspor |
| 44' | 🟥 | Boban Jović · Bursaspor |
| 56' | 🟨 | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aziz Behich · Bursaspor |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Pablo Batalla · Bursaspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Harun Tekin · Bursaspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 14.00 | 194.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.33 | 2.25 |
| elo | 1486.65 |
| venue | Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu |
| 1620.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.97 | -1.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.79 |
| league points | 27.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 13.17 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.84 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |