← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Jan 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
| Kayserispor win | 17% | 5.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
| 32' | ⚽ | Umut Bulut · Kayserispor |
| 35' | 🟨 | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
| 41' | ⚽ | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 44' | 🟨 | Erkan Kaş · Kayserispor |
| 46' | 🟨 | Güray Vural · Kayserispor |
| 61' | 🟨 | Salih Uçan · Fenerbahce |
| 70' | ⚽ | Güray Vural · Kayserispor |
| 88' | ⚽ | Welliton · Kayserispor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Škrtel · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Güray Vural · Kayserispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 28.00 | 181.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.36 |
| elo | 1417.51 |
| venue | Kadir Has Stadium |
| 1646.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.63 | 11.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.52 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.87 |
| league points | 13.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.23 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.94 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |