← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Jan 15, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 83% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.35 |
| Adana Demirspor win | 6% | 17.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Magaye Gueye · Adana Demirspor |
| 31' | 🟨 | Renan Foguinho · Adana Demirspor |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Roni · Adana Demirspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mauricio Ramos · Adana Demirspor |
| 73' | 🟨 | Bekir Yilmaz · Adana Demirspor |
| 78' | 🟨 | Vladimir Koman · Adana Demirspor |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Fernandão · Fenerbahce |
| 80' | 🟨 | Digão · Adana Demirspor |
| 87' | 🟨 | Şener Özbayraklı · Fenerbahce |
| 87' | 🟨 | Didi · Adana Demirspor |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charles Itandje · Adana Demirspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Adana Demirspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 45.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.08 |
| elo | 1645.65 |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| 1425.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.67 | -22.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 19.96 | 22.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.63 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | 1.04 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |