← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Dec 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Alanyaspor win | 24% | 4.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ (pen) | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kenneth Omeruo · Alanyaspor |
| 55' | 🟨 | Berkan Emir · Alanyaspor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ermin Zec · Kardemir Karabukspor |
| 66' | ⚽ | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 67' | 🟨 | Vagner Love · Alanyaspor |
| 81' | 🟨 | Elvis Kokalović · Kardemir Karabukspor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 741.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.84 |
| elo |
| venue | Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadium |
| 1492.42 |
| 1461.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.84 | -5.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.53 |
| league points | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.08 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |