← Süper Lig 2016 · Sat, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
| Adana Demirspor win | 27% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Adana Demirspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 14.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | 5 Ocak |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| elo | 1388.59 | 1505.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.76 | 32.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 45.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.17 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 27.91 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |