← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Oct 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Mete Kalkavan, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Osmanlispor win | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Badou Ndiaye · Osmanlispor |
| 50' | 🟨 | Zydrunas Karcemarskas · Osmanlispor |
| 55' | ⚽ | Robin van Persie · Fenerbahce |
| 61' | 🟨 | Vaclav Prochazka · Osmanlispor |
| 65' | 🟨 | Mehmet Topal · Fenerbahce |
| 84' | 🟨 | Badou Ndiaye · Osmanlispor |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3076.00 | 62.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| elo | 1581.60 | 1551.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) |
| venue | Osmanlı Stadyumu |
| 18.84 |
| 29.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 59.33 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.65 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 2.87 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |