← Süper Lig 2016 · Sun, Aug 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Serkan Cinar, Turkey
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 71% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.06 |
| Kayserispor win | 9% | 10.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Welliton · Kayserispor |
| 30' | ⚽ | Simon Kjær · Fenerbahce |
| 36' | 🟨 | Levent Gülen · Kayserispor |
| 38' | 🟥 | Simon Kjær · Fenerbahce |
| 39' | 🟨 | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 39' | 🟨 | Deniz Türüç · Kayserispor |
| 41' | 🟨 | Préjuce Nakoulma · Kayserispor |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ozan Tufan · Fenerbahce |
| 45' | ⚽ | Welliton · Kayserispor |
| 74' | 🟨 | Miroslav Stoch · Fenerbahce |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ufuk Budak · Kayserispor |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alper Potuk · Fenerbahce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 27.00 | 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1789.92 | 1484.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) |
| venue | Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadı |
| -23.06 |
| -25.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | — |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | — |
| rest days | 2.88 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | — |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.67 | — |
| squad age | 28.36 | 26.31 |
| state index | 0.91 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | — |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | — |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |