← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Jeremy Stinat, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tours win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Le Havre AC win | 25% | 3.96 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
| 16' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Le Havre AC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Roderic Filippi · Tours |
| 54' | 🟨 | Roderic Filippi · Tours |
| 54' | 🟥 | Roderic Filippi · Tours |
| 55' | ⚽ (pen) | Ebenezer Assifuah · Le Havre AC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Florian Miguel · Tours |
| 79' | 🟨 | Faïz Selemani · Tours |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ludovic Gamboa · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 72.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade de la Vallée-du-Cher |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.08 |
| elo | 1471.19 | 1478.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.30 | -9.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| league points | 45.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.46 | 25.61 |
| state index | 0.72 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |