← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florent Batta, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Red Star win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kantari · Valenciennes |
| 37' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 85' | 🟨 | Moussa Niakhaté · Valenciennes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Red Star |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Makhedjouf · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 490.00 | 1769.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 5.00 |
| 5.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.43 |
| elo | 1471.25 | 1380.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.86 | 10.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 51.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.90 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.12 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |