← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Orleans win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Red Star win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Orleans |
| 37' | ⚽ | Benjaloud Youssouf · Orleans |
| 39' | 🟨 | Matthieu Chemin · Orleans |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jean-Charles Castelletto · Red Star |
| 43' | 🟨 | Gauthier Pinaud · Orleans |
| 55' | 🟨 | Formose Mendy · Red Star |
| 55' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Orleans |
| 63' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Orleans |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pierre Bouby · Orleans |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Orleans | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1762.00 | 1762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade de la Source |
| 4.00 |
| 6.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| elo | 1391.74 | 1395.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.17 | 10.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | — |
| league points | 41.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 0.93 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.59 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |