← Ligue 2 2016 · Mon, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lionel Jaffredo, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Ajaccio win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Habib Habibou · Racing Club de Lens |
| 24' | ⚽ | Thomas Ephestion · Racing Club de Lens |
| 29' | ⚽ | Rayan Frikeche · Ajaccio |
| 32' | ⚽ | Joris Sainati · Ajaccio |
| 34' | 🟨 | Paul Babiloni · Ajaccio |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Kévin Fortuné · Racing Club de Lens |
| 39' | ⚽ | Abdelrafik Gerard · Racing Club de Lens |
| 45' | ⚽ | Thomas Ephestion · Racing Club de Lens |
| 45' | ⚽ | Marvin Gakpa · Ajaccio |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Habib Habibou · Racing Club de Lens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 5 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 891.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| 3.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.85 |
| elo | 1462.37 | 1540.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.68 | 24.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 89.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 2.04 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.64 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |