← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephane Lannoy, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tours win | 57% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Red Star win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Florian Miguel · Tours |
| 29' | ⚽ | Cheick Diarra · Tours |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jean-Charles Castelletto · Red Star |
| 37' | ⚽ | Sekou Keita · Red Star |
| 40' | 🟨 | Guy Demel · Red Star |
| 56' | 🟨 | Guy Demel · Red Star |
| 56' | 🟥 | Guy Demel · Red Star |
| 61' | 🟨 | Haris Belkebla · Tours |
| 66' | 🟨 | Brian Bergougnoux · Tours |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mohamed Maouche · Tours |
| 90' | ⚽ | Denis Bouanga · Tours |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 1734.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade de la Vallée-du-Cher |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1407.05 | 1416.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.99 | -15.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 47.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 23.23 | 26.76 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |