← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Ajaccio win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manuel Cabit · Ajaccio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Assifuah · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 867.00 | 167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stade François-Coty |
| 7.00 |
| 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.49 |
| elo | 1455.69 | 1487.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.43 | 9.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 66.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 83.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |