← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: William Lavis, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 55% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Red Star win | 17% | 5.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Anatole Ngamukol · Red Star |
| 54' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Red Star |
| 68' | 🟨 | Renaud Ripart · Nimes |
| 73' | ⚽ | Sada Thioub · Nimes |
| 80' | ⚽ | Theo Valls · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Sofiane Alakouch · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Julien Toudic · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 495.00 | 1713.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| 6.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.79 |
| elo | 1540.86 | 1435.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.98 | 19.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 52.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 23.39 | 27.68 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.88 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |