← Ligue 2 2016 · Mon, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexandre Castro, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Strasbourg Alsace win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | RC Strasbourg Alsace |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 430.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| 2.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.39 |
| elo | 1434.85 | 1478.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.84 | -20.93 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.59 |
| league points | 33.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.59 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |