← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Ajaccio win | 16% | 5.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ (og) | Gaëtan Belaud · Ajaccio |
| 24' | ⚽ | Mouaad Madri · Ajaccio |
| 39' | 🟨 | Johan Gastien · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 49' | 🟨 | Manuel Cabit · Ajaccio |
| 51' | 🟨 | Quentin Bernard · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Paul Babiloni · Ajaccio |
| 89' | ⚽ | Valentin Lavigne · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 245.00 | 853.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le-Blé |
| 3.00 |
| 6.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.91 |
| elo | 1518.97 | 1440.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.96 | -9.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.68 |
| league points | 54.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.71 | 28.77 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |