← Ligue 2 2016 · Mon, Feb 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Pierre Gaillouste, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.89 |
| Ajaccio win | 30% | 3.23 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Jean-Charles Castelletto · Red Star |
| 29' | 🟨 | Pierrick Cros · Red Star |
| 36' | 🟨 | Yann Boé-Kane · Ajaccio |
| 59' | 🟨 | Rayan Frikeche · Ajaccio |
| 80' | ⚽ | Gregoire Lefebvre · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1681.00 | 828.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| 3.00 |
| 7.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 1.87 |
| elo | 1416.84 | 1453.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.00 | -19.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 67.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| league points | 23.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.37 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 29.14 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |