← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Feb 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Mehdi Mokhtari, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| Red Star win | 17% | 5.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Zinedine Ferhat · Le Havre AC |
| 70' | ⚽ | Anatole Ngamukol · Red Star |
| 86' | 🟨 | Julien Toudic · Red Star |
| 89' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Red Star |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 1678.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.40 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.12 |
| elo | 1464.41 | 1413.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.70 | -18.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 26.75 |
| state index | -1.36 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |