← Ligue 2 2016 · Fri, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Amaury Delerue, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Nimes win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Neal Maupay · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 18' | 🟨 | Luciano Castan · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 22' | ⚽ | Julien Faussurier · Stade Brestois 29 |
| 27' | 🟨 | Anthony Marin · Nimes |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Teji Savanier · Nimes |
| 62' | 🟨 | Fabien Garcia · Nimes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Zakaria Diallo · Stade Brestois 29 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.54 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 404.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.18 |
| elo | 1491.62 | 1499.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.82 | -4.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 27.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 9.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.84 |
| skill v1 | -1.54 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.57 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.01 | 26.90 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |