← Ligue 2 2016 · Tue, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aurelien Petit, France
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.84 |
| Orleans win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Idriss Mhirsi · Red Star |
| 5' | 🟨 | Matthieu Ligoule · Orleans |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jérôme Hergault · Red Star |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Red Star | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1612.00 | 1612.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) |
| venue | Stade Jean-Bouin |
| 3.80 |
| 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | — |
| elo | 1425.11 | 1378.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.56 | 5.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.56 |
| league points | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 29.21 |
| state index | -1.49 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |