← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Nurnberg win | 21% | 4.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Daniel Halfar · Kaiserslautern |
| 25' | 🟨 | Patrick Erras · Nurnberg |
| 29' | 🟨 | Miso Brecko · Nurnberg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Constant Djakpa · Nurnberg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Naser Aliji · Kaiserslautern |
| 85' | 🟨 | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stipe Vučur · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eduard Löwen · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 354.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.92 |
| elo | 1478.92 | 1483.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.64 | -3.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 62.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.45 | 24.84 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |