← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 67% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.92 |
| Karlsruhe win | 14% | 7.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Dominick Kumbela · Braunschweig |
| 15' | ⚽ | Bjarne Thoelke · Karlsruhe |
| 34' | ⚽ | Julius Biada · Braunschweig |
| 41' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Braunschweig |
| 42' | 🟨 | Severin Buchta · Karlsruhe |
| 72' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3307.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.26 |
| elo | 1576.15 | 1370.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.97 | -29.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.57 |
| league points | 69.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 0.74 |
| skill v1 | -2.28 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 25.84 |
| state index | 0.41 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.08 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |