← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dingert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Dresden win | 31% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 61' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 81' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Dresden |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sören Brandy · Bielefeld |
| 84' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 690.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.34 |
| elo | 1461.88 | 1477.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.94 | 24.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| league points | 49.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| skill v1 | 1.16 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.69 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |