← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 2.35 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | ⚽ | Kenny Prince Redondo · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 63' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 66' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 177.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.16 |
| elo | 1471.41 | 1554.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.47 | -23.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| league points | 48.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 27.29 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |