← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 45% | 2.17 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Selim Gündüz · Bochum |
| 23' | ⚽ | Lennart Thy · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 55' | ⚽ | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jan-Philipp Kalla · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sören Gonther · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 79' | 🟨 | Richard Neudecker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Lennart Thy · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 902.00 | 887.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 2.69 |
| elo | 1519.38 | 1527.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.83 | 44.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| league points | 50.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |