← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 66% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.79 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 14% | 7.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 385.00 | 1055.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.02 |
| elo | 1628.75 | 1420.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.97 | -30.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.85 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 70.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 66.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.88 | -1.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |